Field notes

Writing on negotiation, procurement, and the AI layer changing both.

Short posts. Sharp opinions. Written for people who actually sit across the table.

Featured · 12 min read · April 2026

The 80% you never negotiate — and what it's costing you

Most procurement functions negotiate around 20% of supplier spend. The other 80% rolls over on the supplier's terms, forever. Here's what happens when you put an autonomous agent on it.

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Bite-sized pieces from the team. Sometimes a tactic. Sometimes a pattern. Sometimes a hill to die on.

Essay · 9 min

Predictive sourcing vs structured negotiation: what the category is actually doing

Two mental models are fighting for control of AI-in-procurement. One optimises the bid event. The other augments the conversation. The split matters more than any feature comparison.

Essay · 8 min

Why buying from your S2P suite costs you the negotiation layer

Ariba, Coupa, and Zycus are excellent at compliance and workflow. They are structurally poor at negotiation intelligence, and the reason is not laziness on their part.

Category · 7 min

When autonomous tail negotiation actually pays back

Autonomous tail works. The savings are real. But the economics only pencil above a specific supplier count and spend shape. Here's the honest threshold.

Tactics · 6 min

The mandate you lock before the call is the deal you get

Negotiators lose more in the first 30 seconds of unplanned reasoning than in any other moment. Here's how we think about pre-briefs.

Patterns · 8 min

Why suppliers anchor high (and what actually moves them)

After 1,200 modelled counterparties, two patterns repeat. Neither is about price. Both are about time.

Product · 5 min

Guardrails > scripts: how Auto stays inside the lines

We don't ship negotiation scripts. We ship a guardrail framework. The difference is the entire product.

Field note · 4 min

The auto-renewal window is where leverage goes to die

Most contracts renew at 3 a.m. on a Saturday because nobody set a calendar reminder. We set the reminder.

Essay · 10 min

Sales got coached for 20 years. Procurement got spreadsheets.

On why procurement is the last operating function to get an intelligence layer — and what changes when it does.

Research · 7 min

35 days: the payment-terms benchmark you can actually move

Walmart moved the curve. The rest of the market can, too — with the right instrument.

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